
{"id":161,"date":"2018-12-21T15:50:14","date_gmt":"2018-12-21T20:50:14","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/?page_id=161"},"modified":"2025-05-16T14:07:06","modified_gmt":"2025-05-16T18:07:06","slug":"publications","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/publications\/","title":{"rendered":"Publications"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a href=\"https:\/\/scholar.google.com\/citations?hl=en&amp;user=Mxp1P_YAAAAJ&amp;view_op=list_works&amp;sortby=pubdate\">Google Scholar Profile<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Submitted:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Mazaleski, G.<\/strong>, and <strong>J. Scheff<\/strong>, 2025: <a href=\"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1187\/2025\/05\/ComparingGPCCandCRU.pdf\">When and where are long-term precipitation trends reliable across the globe?<\/a> <em>Environmental Research Letters<\/em>, submitted. (<a href=\"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1187\/2025\/05\/SupplementaryMaterials.pdf\">supplement<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Published:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Ficklin, D. L., D. Touma, B. I. Cook, S. M. Robeson, T. Hwang, <strong>J. Scheff<\/strong>, A. P. Williams, H. Watson, B. Livneh, and L. Wang, 2024: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/scl\/fi\/nczrn5yz4a38ai3ualum0\/Ficklin-et-al-Greening-and-Runoff-Events-R2-EF-2024.pdf?rlkey=qxhae5mvo2qibdzdmyt2s03pa&amp;dl=1\">Vegetation greening mitigates the impacts of increasing extreme rainfall on runoff events<\/a>. <em>Earth&#8217;s Future<\/em>, <strong>12<\/strong>, e2024EF004661, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1029\/2024EF004661\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1029\/2024EF004661<\/a>. (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/scl\/fi\/4ecnm92oxzdwnjm93y5e2\/Ficklin-et-al-Greening-and-Runoff-Events-R2-EF-2024-Supplement.pdf?rlkey=26b6cyp4gc6v20oafzmcv0yc1&amp;dl=1\">supplement<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Byrne, M. P., G. C. Hegerl, <strong>J. Scheff<\/strong>, O. Adam, A. Berg, M. Biasutti, S. Bordoni, A. Dai, R. Geen, M. Henry, S. A. Hill, C. Hohenegger, V. Humphrey, M. Joshi, A. G. Konings, M. M. Lagu\u00eb, F. H. Lambert, F. Lehner, J. S. Mankin, K. A. McColl, K. A. McKinnon, A. G. Pendergrass, M. Pietschnig, L. Schmidt, A. P. Schurer, E. M. Scott, D. Sexton, S. C. Sherwood, L. R. Vargas Zeppetello, and Y. Zhang, 2024: <a href=\"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1187\/2024\/10\/Byrne-et-al-2024-Theory-and-the-future-of-land-climate-science.pdf\">Theory and the future of land-climate science<\/a>. <em>Nature Geosci<\/em>., <strong>17<\/strong>, 1079-1086, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41561-024-01553-8\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41561-024-01553-8<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Poletti, A. N., D. M. W. Frierson, T. Aerenson, A. Nikumbh, R. Carroll, W. Henshaw, and <strong>J. Scheff<\/strong>, 2024: <a href=\"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1187\/2024\/02\/Poletti-et-al-2024-SSP-Extension-analysis.pdf\">Atmosphere and ocean energy transport in extreme warming scenarios<\/a>. <em>PLoS Climate<\/em>, <strong>3<\/strong>, e0000343, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1371\/journal.pclm.0000343\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1371\/journal.pclm.0000343<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Robinson, R. M.<\/strong>, <strong>J. Scheff<\/strong>, and <strong>N. Golden<\/strong>, 2023: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/s\/8jma8arnx0rp53x\/Robinson%20et%20al%202023%20CMIP6%20jet%20reversal.pdf?dl=1\">CMIP6 captures the satellite-era jet slowdown and Arctic amplification, yet projects future jet speedup and tropical amplification<\/a>. <em>Clim. Dyn.<\/em>, <strong>61<\/strong>, 4915-4926, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s00382-023-06839-y\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s00382-023-06839-y<\/a>. (<a href=\"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1187\/2023\/05\/Robinson-et-al-2023-CMIP6-jet-reversal-SUPPLEMENT.pdf\">supplement<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Scheff, J.<\/strong>, and <strong>J. C. Burroughs<\/strong>, 2023: <a href=\"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1187\/2023\/07\/Scheff-and-Burroughs-2023-US-Dewpoint-trends.pdf\">Diverging trends in US summer dewpoint since 1948<\/a>. <em>Int. J. Climatol.<\/em>, <strong>43<\/strong>, 4183-4195, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/joc.8081\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/joc.8081<\/a>. (<a href=\"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1187\/2023\/05\/Scheff-and-Burroughs-2023-US-Dewpoint-trends-SUPPLEMENT.pdf\">supplement<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Scheff, J.<\/strong>, S. Coats, and M. M. Lagu\u00eb, 2022: <a href=\"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1187\/2022\/08\/Scheff-et-al-2022-Why-dryness-metrics-and-LSMs-disagree.pdf\">Why do the global warming responses of land-surface models and climatic dryness metrics disagree?<\/a>  <em>Earth&#8217;s Future<\/em>, <strong>10<\/strong>, e2022EF002814, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1029\/2022EF002814\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1029\/2022EF002814<\/a>.  (invited <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1029\/2022EF003259\">commentary<\/a> by A. Berg)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>McColl, K. A., M. L. Roderick, A. Berg, and <strong>J. Scheff<\/strong>, 2022: <a href=\"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1187\/2022\/07\/McColl-et-al-2022-The-terrestrial-water-cycle-in-a-warming-world-NCC.pdf\">The terrestrial water cycle in a warming world<\/a>.  <em>Nature Climate Change<\/em>, <strong>12<\/strong>, 604-606, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41558-022-01412-7\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41558-022-01412-7<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Scheff, J.<\/strong>, J. S. Mankin, S. Coats, and H. Liu, 2021: <a href=\"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1187\/2021\/02\/Scheff-et-al-2021-Drought-index-impact-gap-is-not-due-to-CO2.pdf\">CO2-plant effects do not account for the gap between dryness indices and projected dryness impacts in CMIP6 or CMIP5<\/a>. <em>Environ<\/em><em>. Res. Lett.<\/em>, <strong>16<\/strong>, 034018, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1088\/1748-9326\/abd8fd\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1088\/1748-9326\/abd8fd<\/a>.&nbsp; (<a href=\"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1187\/2021\/02\/Scheff-et-al-2021-Drought-index-impact-gap-is-not-due-to-CO2-Supplement.pdf\">supplement<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Eppes, M. C., B. Magi, <strong>J. Scheff<\/strong>, K. Warren, S. Ching, and T. Feng, 2020: <a href=\"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1187\/2021\/01\/Eppes-et-al-2020-VP-accelerates-cracking-in-field-data.pdf\">Warmer, wetter climates accelerate mechanical weathering in field data, independent of stress-loading<\/a>. <em>Geophys. Res. Lett.<\/em>, <strong>47<\/strong>, 2020GL089062, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1029\/2020GL089062\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1029\/2020GL089062<\/a>.&nbsp; (<a href=\"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1187\/2021\/02\/Eppes-et-al-2020-VP-accelerates-cracking-in-field-data-Supplement.pdf\">supplement<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Scheff, J.<\/strong>, 2019:&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/rdcu.be\/bdG8f\">A unified wetting and drying theory<\/a>.&nbsp;<em>Nature Climate Change<\/em>, <strong>9<\/strong>, 9-10, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41558-018-0372-x\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41558-018-0372-x<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"western\"><b>Scheff, J.<\/b>, 2018: <a href=\"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1187\/2023\/05\/Scheff-2018-CLIVAR-Variations.pdf\">Poleward expansion only dries subtropical land in certain, specific regions and seasons<\/a>. <i>CLIVAR Variations<\/i>, <b>16<\/b>(2), 21-26, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5065\/D69Z93QF\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5065\/D69Z93QF<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span style=\"color: #333333\">Biasutti, M., A. Voigt, W. R. Boos, P. Braconnot, J. C. Hargreaves, S. P. Harrison, S. M. Kang, B. E. Mapes, <b>J. Scheff<\/b>, C. Schumacher, A. H. Sobel, and S.-P. Xie, 2018: <a href=\"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1187\/2018\/08\/Biasutti-et-al-2018-Monsoon-Theory-Review.pdf\">Global energetics and local physics as drivers of past, present and future monsoons<\/a>. <i>Nature Geosci.,<\/i><\/span> <span style=\"color: #333333\"><b>11<\/b>, 392-400, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41561-018-0137-1\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41561-018-0137-1<\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span style=\"color: #333333\"><b>Scheff, J.<\/b>, 2018: <a href=\"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1187\/2018\/08\/Scheff-2018-Indices-Impacts.pdf\">Drought indices, drought impacts, CO2, and warming: a historical and geologic perspective<\/a>.&nbsp;<i>Current Climate Change Reports<\/i>, <b>4<\/b>, 202-209, <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s40641-018-0094-1\">https:\/\/<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s40641-018-0094-1\">doi.org\/10.1007\/s40641-018-0094-1<\/a><span style=\"color: #333333\">.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Lemordant, L., P. Gentine, A. S. Swann, B. I. Cook, and <b>J. Scheff<\/b>, 2018: <a href=\"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1187\/2018\/08\/Lemordant-et-al-2018-Vegetation-physiology-and-hydrologic-response.pdf\">Critical impact of vegetation physiology on the continental hydrologic cycle in response to increasing CO<sub>2<\/sub><\/a>. <i>Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA<\/i>, <b>115<\/b>, 4093-4098, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1073\/pnas.1720712115\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1073\/pnas.1720712115<\/a>.&nbsp; (<a href=\"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1187\/2021\/02\/Lemordant-et-al-2018-Vegetation-physiology-and-hydrologic-response-Supplement.pdf\">supplement<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Smerdon, J. E., and&nbsp;<b>Co-authors<\/b>, 2017:&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1187\/2018\/08\/Smerdon-et-al-2017-Hydro2K-Review.pdf\">Comparing proxy and model estimates of hydroclimate variability and change over the Common Era<\/a>.&nbsp;<i>Clim. Past<\/i>, <strong>13<\/strong>, 1851-1900,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5194\/cp-13-1851-2017\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5194\/cp-13-1851-2017<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><b>Scheff, J.<\/b>, R. Seager, H. Liu, and S. Coats, 2017:&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1187\/2018\/08\/Scheff-et-al-2017-Are-Glacials-Dry.pdf\">Are glacials dry? Consequences for paleoclimatology and for greenhouse warming<\/a>.&nbsp;<i>J. Climate<\/i>,&nbsp;<b>30<\/b>, 6593-6609,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1175\/JCLI-D-16-0854.1\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1175\/JCLI-D-16-0854.1<\/a>.&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1187\/2018\/08\/Scheff-et-al-2017-Are-Glacials-Dry-SUPPLEMENT.pdf\">(supplement)<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Voigt, A., M. Biasutti,&nbsp;<b>J. Scheff<\/b>, J. Bader, S. Bordoni, F. Codron, R. D. Dixon, J. Jonas, S. M. Kang, N. Klingaman, R. Leung, J. Lu, B. Mapes, E. A. Maroon, S. McDermid, J.-Y. Park, R. Roehrig, B. E. J. Rose, G. L. Russell, J. Seo, T. Toniazzo, H.-H. Wei, M. Yoshimori, and L. R. V. Zeppetello, 2016:&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1187\/2018\/08\/Voigt-et-al-2016-TRACMIP.pdf\">The Tropical Rain belts with an Annual Cycle and a Continent Model Intercomparison Project: TRACMIP<\/a>.&nbsp;<i>J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst.<\/i>,&nbsp;<b>8<\/b>, 1868-1891,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/2016MS000748\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/2016MS000748<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Maroon, E. A., D. M. W. Frierson, S. M. Kang, and&nbsp;<b>J. Scheff<\/b>, 2016:&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1187\/2018\/08\/Maroon-et-al-2016-subtropical-NH-continent-Gram-AM2.pdf\">The precipitation response to an idealized subtropical continent<\/a>.&nbsp;<i>J. Climate<\/i>,&nbsp;<b>29<\/b>, 4543-4564,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1175\/JCLI-D-15-0616.1\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1175\/JCLI-D-15-0616.1<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><b>Scheff, J.<\/b>, and D. M. W. Frierson, 2015:&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1187\/2018\/08\/Scheff-and-Frierson-2015-CMIP5-Aridity-Index-and-Changes.pdf\">Terrestrial aridity and its response to greenhouse warming across CMIP5 climate models<\/a>.&nbsp;<i>J. Climate<\/i>,&nbsp;<b>28<\/b>, 5583-5600,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1175\/JCLI-D-14-00480.1\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1175\/JCLI-D-14-00480.1<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><b>Scheff, J.<\/b>, and D. M. W. Frierson, 2014:&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1187\/2018\/08\/Scheff-and-Frierson-2014-PET-and-greenhouse-warming.pdf\">Scaling potential evapotranspiration with greenhouse warming<\/a>.&nbsp;<i>J. Climate<\/i>,&nbsp;<b>27<\/b>, 1539-1558,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1175\/JCLI-D-13-00233.1\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1175\/JCLI-D-13-00233.1<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><b>Scheff, J.<\/b>, and D. Frierson, 2012:&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1187\/2018\/08\/Scheff-and-Frierson-2012-precip-in-CMIP5.pdf\">Robust future precipitation declines in CMIP5 largely reflect the poleward expansion of model subtropical dry zones<\/a>.&nbsp;<i>Geophys. Res. Lett.<\/i>,&nbsp;<b>39<\/b>, L18704,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1029\/2012GL052910\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1029\/2012GL052910<\/a>. <a href=\"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1187\/2018\/08\/Scheff-and-Frierson-2012-precip-in-CMIP5-SUPP-FIG-S1.pdf\">(supplementary figure S1)<\/a>&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1187\/2018\/08\/Scheff-and-Frierson-2012-precip-in-CMIP5-SUPP-FIG-S2.pdf\">(supplementary figure S2)<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><b>Scheff, J.<\/b>, and D. M. W. Frierson, 2012:&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1187\/2018\/08\/Scheff-and-Frierson-2012-subtropical-precip-declines-in-CMIP3.pdf\">Twenty-first-century multimodel subtropical precipitation declines are mostly midlatitude shifts<\/a>.&nbsp;<i>J. Climate<\/i>,&nbsp;<b>25<\/b>, 4330-4347,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1175\/JCLI-D-11-00393.1\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1175\/JCLI-D-11-00393.1<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Graduate theses:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Scheff, J.<\/strong>, 2014:&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.ldeo.columbia.edu\/~jscheff\/JacobScheffUWDissertation.pdf\">Understanding the responses of precipitation, evaporative demand, and terrestrial water availability to planetary temperature in climate models<\/a>. PhD dissertation, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington, 199 pp.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Scheff, J.<\/strong>, 2011:&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/1187\/2018\/08\/Thesis.pdf\">CMIP3 21st century robust subtropical precipitation declines are mostly mid-latitude shifts<\/a>.&nbsp;&nbsp;M.S. thesis, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington, 66 pp.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Google Scholar Profile Submitted: Mazaleski, G., and J. Scheff, 2025: When and where are long-term precipitation trends reliable across the globe? Environmental Research Letters, submitted. (supplement) Published: Ficklin, D. L., D. Touma, B. I. Cook, S. M. Robeson, T. Hwang, J. Scheff, A. P. Williams, H. Watson, B. Livneh, and L. Wang, 2024: Vegetation greening [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2361,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-161","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/161","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2361"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=161"}],"version-history":[{"count":143,"href":"https:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/161\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":713,"href":"https:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/161\/revisions\/713"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/pages.charlotte.edu\/hcl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=161"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}