Google Scholar Profile
In press:
Ficklin, D. L., D. Touma, B. I. Cook, S. M. Robeson, T. Hwang, J. Scheff, A. P. Williams, H. Watson, B. Livneh, and L. Wang, 2024: Vegetation greening mitigates the impacts of increasing extreme rainfall on runoff events. Earth’s Future, in press. (supplement)
Published:
Byrne, M. P., G. C. Hegerl, J. Scheff, O. Adam, A. Berg, M. Biasutti, S. Bordoni, A. Dai, R. Geen, M. Henry, S. A. Hill, C. Hohenegger, V. Humphrey, M. Joshi, A. G. Konings, M. M. Laguë, F. H. Lambert, F. Lehner, J. S. Mankin, K. A. McColl, K. A. McKinnon, A. G. Pendergrass, M. Pietschnig, L. Schmidt, A. P. Schurer, E. M. Scott, D. Sexton, S. C. Sherwood, L. R. Vargas Zeppetello, and Y. Zhang, 2024: Theory and the future of land-climate science. Nature Geosci., https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-024-01553-8.
Poletti, A. N., D. M. W. Frierson, T. Aerenson, A. Nikumbh, R. Carroll, W. Henshaw, and J. Scheff, 2024: Atmosphere and ocean energy transport in extreme warming scenarios. PLoS Climate, 3, e0000343, https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000343.
Robinson, R. M., J. Scheff, and N. Golden, 2023: CMIP6 captures the satellite-era jet slowdown and Arctic amplification, yet projects future jet speedup and tropical amplification. Clim. Dyn., 61, 4915-4926, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06839-y. (supplement)
Scheff, J., and J. C. Burroughs, 2023: Diverging trends in US summer dewpoint since 1948. Int. J. Climatol., 43, 4183-4195, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8081. (supplement)
Scheff, J., S. Coats, and M. M. Laguë, 2022: Why do the global warming responses of land-surface models and climatic dryness metrics disagree? Earth’s Future, 10, e2022EF002814, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF002814. (invited commentary by A. Berg)
McColl, K. A., M. L. Roderick, A. Berg, and J. Scheff, 2022: The terrestrial water cycle in a warming world. Nature Climate Change, 12, 604-606, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01412-7.
Scheff, J., J. S. Mankin, S. Coats, and H. Liu, 2021: CO2-plant effects do not account for the gap between dryness indices and projected dryness impacts in CMIP6 or CMIP5. Environ. Res. Lett., 16, 034018, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abd8fd. (supplement)
Eppes, M. C., B. Magi, J. Scheff, K. Warren, S. Ching, and T. Feng, 2020: Warmer, wetter climates accelerate mechanical weathering in field data, independent of stress-loading. Geophys. Res. Lett., 47, 2020GL089062, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL089062. (supplement)
Scheff, J., 2019: A unified wetting and drying theory. Nature Climate Change, 9, 9-10, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0372-x.
Scheff, J., 2018: Poleward expansion only dries subtropical land in certain, specific regions and seasons. CLIVAR Variations, 16(2), 21-26, https://doi.org/10.5065/D69Z93QF.
Biasutti, M., A. Voigt, W. R. Boos, P. Braconnot, J. C. Hargreaves, S. P. Harrison, S. M. Kang, B. E. Mapes, J. Scheff, C. Schumacher, A. H. Sobel, and S.-P. Xie, 2018: Global energetics and local physics as drivers of past, present and future monsoons. Nature Geosci., 11, 392-400, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0137-1.
Scheff, J., 2018: Drought indices, drought impacts, CO2, and warming: a historical and geologic perspective. Current Climate Change Reports, 4, 202-209, https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-018-0094-1.
Lemordant, L., P. Gentine, A. S. Swann, B. I. Cook, and J. Scheff, 2018: Critical impact of vegetation physiology on the continental hydrologic cycle in response to increasing CO2. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 115, 4093-4098, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1720712115. (supplement)
Smerdon, J. E., and Co-authors, 2017: Comparing proxy and model estimates of hydroclimate variability and change over the Common Era. Clim. Past, 13, 1851-1900, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-13-1851-2017.
Scheff, J., R. Seager, H. Liu, and S. Coats, 2017: Are glacials dry? Consequences for paleoclimatology and for greenhouse warming. J. Climate, 30, 6593-6609, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0854.1. (supplement)
Voigt, A., M. Biasutti, J. Scheff, J. Bader, S. Bordoni, F. Codron, R. D. Dixon, J. Jonas, S. M. Kang, N. Klingaman, R. Leung, J. Lu, B. Mapes, E. A. Maroon, S. McDermid, J.-Y. Park, R. Roehrig, B. E. J. Rose, G. L. Russell, J. Seo, T. Toniazzo, H.-H. Wei, M. Yoshimori, and L. R. V. Zeppetello, 2016: The Tropical Rain belts with an Annual Cycle and a Continent Model Intercomparison Project: TRACMIP. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 8, 1868-1891, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016MS000748.
Maroon, E. A., D. M. W. Frierson, S. M. Kang, and J. Scheff, 2016: The precipitation response to an idealized subtropical continent. J. Climate, 29, 4543-4564, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0616.1.
Scheff, J., and D. M. W. Frierson, 2015: Terrestrial aridity and its response to greenhouse warming across CMIP5 climate models. J. Climate, 28, 5583-5600, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00480.1.
Scheff, J., and D. M. W. Frierson, 2014: Scaling potential evapotranspiration with greenhouse warming. J. Climate, 27, 1539-1558, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00233.1.
Scheff, J., and D. Frierson, 2012: Robust future precipitation declines in CMIP5 largely reflect the poleward expansion of model subtropical dry zones. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L18704, https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL052910. (supplementary figure S1) (supplementary figure S2)
Scheff, J., and D. M. W. Frierson, 2012: Twenty-first-century multimodel subtropical precipitation declines are mostly midlatitude shifts. J. Climate, 25, 4330-4347, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00393.1.
Graduate theses:
Scheff, J., 2014: Understanding the responses of precipitation, evaporative demand, and terrestrial water availability to planetary temperature in climate models. PhD dissertation, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington, 199 pp.
Scheff, J., 2011: CMIP3 21st century robust subtropical precipitation declines are mostly mid-latitude shifts. M.S. thesis, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington, 66 pp.